Key takeaway: It’s bears on strike and bulls on parade. While it persists, it can fuel a rally. Whether it can persist is another question. We have already seen (particularly in less...
Key takeaway: Record highs in equity indexes buoy investor sentiment that has remained optimistic without a significant challenge over the past year. Bulls ticked higher across our...
Key takeaway: Last week’s volatility unwound some near-term complacency, but there is still plenty of evidence of optimism in the system. Active managers increased their equity exposure...
Key takeaway: From a breadth perspective, the market is challenged right now by a scarcity of new highs. From a sentiment perspective, it has to contend with a scarcity of bears....
Key takeaway: Excessive optimism has been slow to unwind and most of our indicators are back to signalling a high risk environment from a sentiment perspective. Individual investors...
Key takeaway: Sentiment continues to shift away from optimism and toward pessimism, though as with anything it is not a straight line. Speculative activity is flaring up again this week...
Key takeaway: Sentiment continues to shift from optimism to pessimism. Unlike the March optimism unwind, the current situation is associated with a waning risk appetite on the...
Key takeaway: Amid the economic optimism that is seen in surveys and magazine covers, the stock market is experiencing an unwinding in speculative excesses that has just begun...
Key takeaway: A peak within the NASDAQ (or the Technology sector) shows that pockets of speculative excesses are being unwound. There has been enough strength in the market...
Key takeaway: Evidence of excessive optimism abounds. Recent articles in the Wall Street Journal provide anecdotes for the data: Conservative German savers are increasing...
Key takeaway: Optimism remains widespread from a cyclical perspective but history shows that it can (and in the past, has) remain elevated for extended periods of time....
Key takeaway: The heat has been turned up on our sentiment indicators, and optimism is back to a full boil as we see indexes in the US and around the world move to new highs....
Key takeaway: After a healthy unwind over the past few weeks that allowed sentiment to reset to neutral, we are seeing optimism rebuild. This uptick...
Key takeaway: Investor optimism has been unwinding even as indexes have moved into record territory and breadth remains strong (NYSE new high list at...
Key takeaway: Sentiment shifts last week seemed more reflective of weakness in the headliners than the new weekly closing highs in the equal-weight S&P 500. This is a...
Key takeaway: Another bout of late-month market volatility produced quickly frayed nerves. The VIX spiked and put/call ratios moved away from excessive complacency. Our tactical...
Key takeaway: Optimism remains elevated when looking at investor positioning (equity ETFs have seen a quarter trillion dollars of inflows since the end of Q3) and demand for call...