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From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: It’s bears on strike and bulls on parade. While it persists, it can fuel a rally. Whether it can persist is another question. We have already seen (particularly in less...

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Sentiment Report

This is our ASC Research Q3 2021 Playbook.

With the current market environment giving us many mixed messages, what better time to dive in and see what's happening underneath the surface?

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When there aren't any bears left, the market has a funny way of creating new ones.

That's been one of the biggest questions from me ...

Stocks
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bonds
ASC
sentiment

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Record highs in equity indexes buoy investor sentiment that has remained optimistic without a significant challenge over the past year. Bulls ticked higher across our...

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willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Last week’s volatility unwound some near-term complacency, but there is still plenty of evidence of optimism in the system. Active managers increased their equity exposure...

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willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: From a breadth perspective, the market is challenged right now by a scarcity of new highs. From a sentiment perspective, it has to contend with a scarcity of bears....

willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Excessive optimism has been slow to unwind and most of our indicators are back to signalling a high risk environment from a sentiment perspective. Individual investors...

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Sentiment continues to shift away from optimism and toward pessimism, though as with anything it is not a straight line. Speculative activity is flaring up again this week...

willie
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Sentiment Report

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Earlier in the week, we held our May Monthly Conference Call, which Premium Members can...

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Strazza
sentiment

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Sentiment continues to shift from optimism to pessimism. Unlike the March optimism unwind, the current situation is associated with a waning risk appetite on the...

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Amid the economic optimism that is seen in surveys and magazine covers, the stock market is experiencing an unwinding in speculative excesses that has just begun...

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: A peak within the NASDAQ (or the Technology sector) shows that pockets of speculative excesses are being unwound. There has been enough strength in the market...

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Evidence of excessive optimism abounds. Recent articles in the Wall Street Journal provide anecdotes for the data: Conservative German savers are increasing...

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Optimism remains widespread from a cyclical perspective but history shows that it can (and in the past, has) remain elevated for extended periods of time....

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willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: The heat has been turned up on our sentiment indicators, and optimism is back to a full boil as we see indexes in the US and around the world move to new highs....

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Despite the decreasing exposure of active equity managers, the weight of the evidence continues to lean toward a neutral sentiment...

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Despite the decreasing exposure of active equity managers, the weight of the evidence continues to lean toward a neutral sentiment...

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: The evidence continues to suggest we have recently undergone a healthy unwind in excessive optimism. Investment manager’s equity...

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: After a healthy unwind over the past few weeks that allowed sentiment to reset to neutral, we are seeing optimism rebuild. This uptick...

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Investor optimism has been unwinding even as indexes have moved into record territory and breadth remains strong (NYSE new high list at...

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Sentiment shifts last week seemed more reflective of weakness in the headliners than the new weekly closing highs in the equal-weight S&P 500. This is a...

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Another bout of late-month market volatility produced quickly frayed nerves. The VIX spiked and put/call ratios moved away from excessive complacency. Our tactical...

ASC
willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key takeaway: Optimism remains elevated when looking at investor positioning (equity ETFs have seen a quarter trillion dollars of inflows since the end of Q3) and demand for call...

ASC
willie
sentiment
Sentiment Report