Pressure Builds at Dow 45K π The Daily Chart Report
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Todayβs Summary
Friday, July 25, 2025
Indices: Dow +0.47% | S&P 500 +0.40% | Russell 2000 +0.40% | Nasdaq +0.23%
Sectors: 8 of the 11 sectors closed higher. Materials led, gaining +1.18%. Communications lagged, falling -0.93%.
Commodities: Crude Oil fell -1.32% to $65.16 per barrel. Gold fell -1.12% to $3,336 per oz.
Currencies: The US Dollar Index rose +0.16% to $97.67.
Crypto: Bitcoin is currently down -0.91% at $117,270. Ethereum is up +0.37% at $3,722.
Volatility: The Volatility Index dropped -2.99% to a five-month low of 14.92.
Interest Rates: The US 10-year Treasury fell to 4.386%.
Here are the best charts, articles, and ideas shared on the web today!
Chart of the Day
π Today's Chart of the Day was shared by Ross J. Brown (@RJB_Financial).
- The Dow closed just 10 points shy of an all-time high, or -0.02% on a weekly closing basis. However, it still gained +1.3% this week.
- The other two large-cap indices ($SPY and $QQQ) have consistently set record highs over the past month, but the Dow hasnβt notched a new high since November.
- $DIA remains tightly coiled beneath resistance at 45,000, representing the peaks from January and November. As Ross notes, a breakout would unlock the door to Dow 50k by year-end.
The Takeaway: The Dow closed just a few points shy of a record high despite solid gains this week. Pressure is building at 45k, and a decisive breakout would target 50k by year-end.
Quote of the Day
βIn most bull markets, there comes a time when the public controls fluctuations and the efforts of the largest operators are insufficient to check the rising tide.β
- Charles Dow
Top Links
August Has Been Even Weaker in Post-Election Years - Almanac Trader
Jeff Hirsch examines August seasonality for the major indices.
Stock Market & Crypto Analysis July 25 2025 - Brian Shannon
Brian Shannon breaks down this week's action and some key levels to watch next week.
Quiet Moves, Loud Message π - The Daily Number
Grant Hawkridge looks at the recent streak without a 1% move in the S&P 500.
MACD & Two QQQ Upside Targets - CappNotes
Frank Cappelleri highlights a few noteworthy technical developments for the S&P 500.
The Magnificent Seven of China - The Strazza Letter
Steve Strazza looks at China's large-cap leaders.