Sentiment Shifts ๐Ÿ“ˆ The Daily Chart Report

June 12, 2025
Patrick Dunuwila

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Stock Market Media

Todayโ€™s Summary

Thursday, June 12, 2025
 

 

Indices:  S&P 500 +0.38% | Nasdaq +0.24% | Dow +0.24% | Russell 2000 -0.38%

Sectors: 7 of the 11 sectors closed higher. Utilities led, gaining +1.21%. Communications lagged, falling -0.81%.

Commodities: Crude Oil inched lower by -0.16% to $68.04 per barrel. Gold rose +1.76% to $3,402 per oz. 
 
Currencies: The US Dollar Index dropped -0.76% to a three-year low of $97.84.

Crypto: Bitcoin is currently down -2.56% to $105,900. Ethereum is down -4.64% to $2,643.

Volatility: The Volatility Index gained +4.41% to 18.01.

Interest Rates: The US 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.365%.

 


Here are the best charts, articles, and ideas shared on the web today!
 


Chart of the Day 


๐Ÿ†  Today's Chart of the Day was shared by @SubuTrade.
 

  • The S&P 500 is less than 2% shy of an all-time high after rebounding more than +21% from its closing lows over the past two months.
     
  • Sentiment is starting to normalize, with the latest AAII Sentiment Survey showing bulls outnumbering bears by +3.1%โ€”its highest reading in 15 weeks.
     
  • SubuTrade notes that when the AAII bull-bear spread has exceeded 3% for the first time in at least 15 weeks, the S&P 500 has historically performed well. While the sample size is limited, the index has never been lower 3 to 12 months later, averaging a +22% gain over the following year.
     

The Takeaway: Sentiment is finally normalizing after a prolonged stretch of pessimism. The S&P 500 has historically delivered strong returns following similar shifts in market sentiment.



Quote of the Day


"Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria." 

- John Templeton


Top Links
 

Sentiment Around New Highs - Bespoke
Bespoke examines how sentiment typically looks around all-time highs. 

Welcome to the Start of a New Bull Market? - Carson Research
Ryan Detrick highlights a few positive developments for the S&P 500. 

11 Out of 11 Ainโ€™t Bad ๐Ÿงฎ - The Daily Number
Grant Hawkridge points out that all 11 sectors have reclaimed their 50-day moving averages for the first time since October. 

Failed Top in Semis - Alfonso's Daily Note
Alfonso De Pablos looks at a potentially bullish setup for Semiconductor stocks. 

Breakdown for the U.S. Dollar? - NDR
Ned Davis Research notes the continued weakness in the US Dollar Index. 

 


Top Tweets

 

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